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An essential element in the
physical makeup of the planet Earth is the existence of a planetary-sized
geomagnetic field, which for various and sundry reasons, appears to
periodically change its orientation in terms of the respective positions of it
north and south magnetic poles.
Occasionally, Mother Earth (Gaia) prefers
the dramatic – when the north and south magnetic poles reverse their positions. They do so rather abruptly in what is known
as a Magnetic Pole Shift. In the
MPS scenario, north becomes south, south becomes north, and the
comparatively abrupt process of shifting poles and the results brought with them have unique possibilities.
The Big MPS is not a frequent event – the
last occasion apparently occurring some 730,000 years ago. Rumors of late have begun circulating that the
time has come for the magnetic poles to do a reversal. According to NASCA,
“Scientists believe the Earth's magnetic poles are about to reverse themselves
– an event that would undoubtedly plunge the world into turmoil, some say
complete catastrophe." The Observer
Guardian headlines one article with “Sun's rays to roast
Earth as poles flip.” Such pronouncements are at least likely to tweak your
attention.
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If such is the case, then one may
wish to consider two aspects of this subject. The first is the physical reality
of geomagnetic pole reversals; their history and mechanism. The second is the
effects, i.e. what happens when the magnetic world is turned upside down.
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History of the Earth's Geomagnetic Field
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The Earth's
geomagnetic field is well-known to anyone who has ever used a compass.
Such usage is typically on the surface of the earth, but it must be
noted that the geomagnetic field permeates the planet itself and extends
outward into space. At the surface of the Earth, the field is evidenced
by the behavior of magnetite material, such as bar magnets, which, when
suspended and free to rotate, align themselves with the geomagnetic
field. By theory and limited observation, the magnetic field is believed
to extend deep into the Earth, through the Earth's mantle and into its
outer core, of what is believed to be molten iron. The field also extends
into space where it surrounds the Earth in what is termed as
magnetosphere (of which the Van Allen Belts are a part).
According
to paleomagnetists, the Earth periodically -- every few hundred
thousand years -- flips its magnetic field (i.e. the north and south
magnetic poles are reversed). Evidence for this peculiar habit is
provided by measurements of the orientation of magnetic materials in
sedimentary and volcanic rocks, and the fact that such orientations have
been grouped into distinct periods over the last 178 million years.
Based on this evidence, the most recent magnetic pole reversal appears
to have occurred some 730,000 years ago, leaving the north and south
magnetic poles at 75 degrees North, 102 degrees West, and 67 degrees South and 140 degrees East, respectively. Work by Allan Cox has shown extreme variability in when and
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where such an event occurs –
ranging from a 35 million year hiatus in the Cretaceous Period, to more
recent variations of several hundred thousand years between events. Of
course, this means that based on the relatively recent past, we're way
overdue!
For
the last hundred years, geophysicists have observed a steady and
significan weakening in the strength of the Earth's magnetic field. The
weakening rate suggests that the magnetic field may vanish altogether
within the next 1,500 years. This weakening is about 1% per decade, and
has deteriorated over the last 2,000 years by about 50%. The magnetic
field pattern also rotates in some areas by about 1% every ten years.
Much more noteworthy, however, are major shifts in the locations of the
magnetic poles, in the form of complete reversals and in the form of
"excursions".
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Excursions
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Excursions refer to those cases in the sedimentary and volcanic
records where the geodynamo apparently failed to complete a geomagnetic field
reversal and ended up backtracking. These large leaps in the field direction
may have been produced by abnormal secular variations or may be “manifestations
of unsuccessful, or aborted, reversal attempts”. For our purposes, the
explanation of the causes of an “excursion” or a complete reversal of the
magnetic poles is essentially the same, differing only in the intensity of the
causal factor -- the lesser intensity events occurring when the geomagnetic
field does not quite complete a reversal.
Evidence of reversals in the geomagnetic
field indicates 200 reversals over the last 178 million years. This includes a
35-million year hiatus during the Cretaceous period, and 33 reversals in the
last 25 million years. Over the last 70 million years, “polarity reversals have
been taking place at an increasing rate”. In fact, there have been 9 major
reversals in the past 3.6 million years (i.e. on average one every 400,000
years), with the most recent one being 730,000 years ago. There is even
evidence of a looping excursion
by the geomagnetic field some 28,000 years ago.
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The evidence of major variations in the
geomagnetic field derives from sedimentary and volcanic lava records. These
records provide the timing and location of the magnetic pole from the angle of
dip and the horizontal orientation of magnetite material in the sediments and
lava flows. Unfortunately, sedimentary records are limited in that they tell us
more about the pre- and post-geomagnetic records than about the actual reversal
process itself. Lava records, on the other hand, being laid down in a matter of
days (instead of thousands of years in the case of sediments) provide much more
detail in the description of events in a geomagnetic pole reversal.
It
has been assumed by paleomagnetists that
geomagnetic pole reversals do not occur instantaneously from one
polarity state
to the other, but occur over a period that typically spans a few
thousand years. However, evidence from lava flows indicate rapid shifts,
perhaps taking
only a few years, OR perhaps fast enough that it would virtually be
possible to
watch a compass needle move. Data from the Steens Mountain lava beds in southeastern Oregon , for example, indicate that the geomagnetic poles
were moving between 3 degrees and 8 degrees per day!
The paleontological records provide not only
evidence of geomagnetic field reversals/excursions and a description of the
reversal itself, but also yield clues as to the origins of the geomagnetic
field and, albeit indirectly, the possible causes of the geomagnetic field
reversals.
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Origins and Reversals of Geomagnetic Fields
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It has been generally accepted that the
geomagnetic field is generated by the motion of free electrons in the
convection outer core. Temperatures in the outer core reach those of the
sun's surface (5,800 degrees Celsius), allowing the liquid iron of the core to
flow as readily as water and conduct electricity slightly better than does
copper. According to theory, the influence of the Earth's rotation and heat
propels the molten iron in the outer core, which, when interacting with the
magnetic field of the Earth, generates a magnetic field as well, reinforcing
the Earth's field. The geodynamo is thus self-perpetuating.
However,
this theory does not explain the
original origin of the Earth's magnetic field, other than to postulate
that it has been present to some extent throughout geological time.
Neither does
the theory explain the cause of the dipole field's decay, nor the forces
behind
its secular variations (including westward drift). The dipole field, for
example, is decaying about ten times faster than can be accounted for in
the
current theories.
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| Associated theories of geomagnetic pole
reversals are similarly flawed. For example, one theorist suggests that “the
reversal phenomenon may be triggered when something
disturbs the convection pattern of the core fluid, and with it
the magnetic flux”.
This something might derive from what some theorists conjecture to be the
outer core of the Earth forming a chaotic system, and out of the chaos arising
periodic geomagnetic reversals. |
An alternative theory, but one which has
found minimal support, is that a meteorite striking the Earth could loft dust
into the atmosphere which would suddenly cool the Earth to the point where the
formation of ice caps at the poles could speed the Earth's rotation, and thus
in turn cause shearing between the mantle and outer core, and thereby cause the
reversal. The flaw here is that major volcanic activity could yield the
same result, but that such activity during the Cretaceous Period actually
resulted in a stable geomagnetic condition.
At the time it was initially proposed, a
basic assumption in the outer-core-generated geodynamo theory was that there
were no other planetary or solar system induced electromagnetic fields which,
in turn, could account for the cause of the geomagnetic field. In effect, the
theory was proposed prior to the discovery that the solar system is literally
awash in electromagnetic forces. These forces include: the interplanetary
magnetic field, the Sun's magnetic field (and its continually progressing
reversal every 22 years or so), the solar wind, and the magnetospheres of
various planets (including the Earth).
Another theorist, known as Bagenal has shown mathematically that
“magnetospheres of rapidly rotating planets with strong magnetic fields [e.g.
Jupiter and Saturn] are dominated by rotation while the solar wind controls the
plasma flow in smaller magnetospheres of slowly rotating planets [e.g. Earth].”
If this is the case, then the Earth's geomagnetic field would have, as its
primary initiator, and possibly controlling factor, an externally generated
field (possibly the solar wind and/or the interplanetary magnetic field).
Effects of the Geomagnetic Field
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The Sun and the solar wind provide the
primary influence on the Earth's geomagnetic field. The solar wind consists of
charged particles from the sun, which varies with the degree of solar activity.
This solar activity is best exemplified by sunspots, and results in a virtual
sheet of current flowing from the sun (in turn producing a very complex
magnetic field). Meanwhile, the Sun's magnetic field changes from being aligned
parallel to its axis of rotation at the minimum of sunspot activity, to
perpendicular at the peak of what is referred to as the sunspot cycle. The
sunspot cycle and thus the orientation of the Sun's magnetic field has a
period, on average, of 22.25 years; and a longer term cycle of 178 years.
Planetary magnetic fields, such as Jupiter
and Saturn, are considerably less documented, but appear to be rotation-based.
Because of the solar wind,the planets' magnetic fields in outer space take on the configura-
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| tion of tear-shaped magnetospheres. In the case of Earth, the
strange orientation of the magnetic poles twists this tear shape almost 30
degrees, and thus imposes additional complexity to the problem. In the case of
Jupiter, its magnetosphere extends out as far as the orbit of Saturn, with
material being forcibly disconnected from Jupiter and flung down the tail. |
This electromagnetic movement of charged
particles from Jupiter might be termed the “Jupiter Wind”. In each case, the
magnetospheres of the planets act as a shield against the effects of the solar
wind, but a shield which may not be entirely effective. In the case of the
Earth, the geomagnetic pressure very nearly balances the dynamic pressure of
the solar wind. This equalized pressure surface layer is termed the
“magnetopause”, and acts as a shield for 99% of the solar wind.
Sunspots, the solar wind, and the
interplanetary magnetic field induced primarily by the Sun, have numerous
effects on the Earth. The Earth's geomagnetic field, in all likelihood, is
caused or originated by the solar effects. Variations in the solar field
would also, undoubtedly, effect the Earth. These effects include everything
from massive disruptions in electronic or electromagnetic communications during
heightened sunspot activity to correlations between sunspot activity and
popular revolutions and uprisings. In the latter case, Margaret Thatcher
arrived and departed from 10 Downing Street at peak periods in the 11.25 year sunspot cycle.
The effects of other planets'
electromagnetic fields on the Earth is generally dismissed as insignificant in
comparison to the solar effects. While some astrologers may insist that all
planetary effects must be taken into account, major effects such as other
planets causing or triggering magnetic pole reversals are not considered as
remotely possible. This is due to the fact that the solar wind dominates the
interplanetary space.
However, if the solar wind was temporarily
interrupted in a very limited locale, any planets' magnetosphere might
significantly influence the electromagnetic properties of other planets. The
basis of this article is that just such a temporary, limited interruption can and
does periodically occur.
Alternative Theory for Pole Reversal
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During those periods which astrologers call
“Sun-Jupiter oppositions”, the Earth is situated directly between the Sun and
Jupiter. Strictly speaking, because of the differences in the inclination of
the orbits of the two planets, such oppositions refer only to the longitudinal
dimension—the latitudinal dimension is still considerably different. In most
all cases, the Earth is not effectively in alignment with the Sun and Jupiter.
Instead, the Earth is either considerably below or above the line connecting the
Sun and Jupiter. A near perfect alignment of the Sun, Earth and Jupiter, when
the Earth would quite literally cast an electromagnetic “shadow” on Jupiter's
magnetosphere, occurs extremely rarely. Such a near perfect alignment occurs
only when the Earth passes between the Sun and Jupiter longitudinally, and
simultaneously, the difference in latitude between the Earth and Jupiter is
less than one minute of arc. The key factor is that, in those cases when such a
near-perfect alignment does occur, the effects may be significant!
The concept being suggested here is that
during a near-perfect alignment of the Sun, Earth, and Jupiter -- i.e. the
longitudes of Earth and Jupiter exact, and the differences in latitude within
less than one minute of arc -- the “Jupiter Wind”, i.e.
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| the giant planet's
magnetosphere, responds to the temporary cessation of the dynamic pressure of
the solar wind (caused by the Earth's electromagnetic “shadow” falling on
Jupiter's magnetosphere) by an electromagnetic surge in the direction of the
null spot of the solar wind, i.e. the Earth. Furthermore, this so-called Jupiter
Wind consists of charged particles with the more energetic, negatively charged
electrons leading the way and leaving the more massive, positively charged
protons far behind. The charged particles, no longer constrained by the
pressure of the solar wind, are essentially flung out into space in the
direction of the Earth. |
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The alignment is a dynamic event with the
solar wind quickly reasserting its pressure as the Earth moves out from between
the Sun and Jupiter. For this reason, with the charged particles reaching the
Earth initially being electrons, and inasmuch as the protons might be turned
back by the solar wind by the removal of the Earth's shadow before the protons
can reach the Earth, the portion of the Jupiter Wind reaching the Earth might
be predominantly electrons. Because of the distance from Jupiter to the Earth
(about four times the distance from the Earth to the Sun) and the time for the
Earth's electromagnetic shadow to pass over Jupiter's magnetosphere, it is
likely that only the most energetic electrons would reach the Earth in this
fashion.
The leading edge of the Jupiter Wind would
effectively sweep across the earth (just as the Earth's shadow swept across the
face of Jupiter), causing a negatively charged surge, which when in combination
with the solar wind could cause a massive electromagnetic force against the
Earth's geomagnetic field. In many respects, the Jupiter Wind could provide the
trigger and “reversing mechanism” while the solar wind provides the power.
The potential for such a geomagnetic pole
reversal event would thus be predictable by simply calculating those dates when
the Sun-Earth-Jupiter alignment is sufficiently precise to cause the shadowing
effect. However, the intensity of the solar wind, the orientation of the Sun's
magnetic field, and the degree of sunspot activity might serve to add to or
negate the Jupiter Wind effect. In this regard, at minimal sunspot activity and
a relatively weak solar wind, the Sun's magnetic field is parallel to its axis
of rotation. This results in the interplanetary magnetic field transferring
greater amounts of energy into the Earth's magnetosphere. Conversely, when
the sunspot activity is at a peak, with a strong solar wind, the Sun's magnetic
field is perpendicular to its axis of rotation. There is also the
possibility that the planet Saturn could conceivably accomplish a geomagnetic
reversal as well, but because its magnetosphere is less than Jupiter, and
because it is much further away, the chances of Sun-Earth-Saturn alignments
causing a pole reversal is much less.
There is also evidence that sunspots are
connected with the alignment of planets. For example, if one considers the
larger sunspot cycle of 178 years and Jupiter's orbit about the Sun of 11.862
years, one obtains: 1/178 + 1/11.862 = 1/P where P = 11.121 (a value extremely
close to the average solar activity of 11.125 years). Such a correlation
lends credence to the concept that electromagnetism connects the solar system
in a profound manner. If an alignment of the Earth with the Sun and other
planets can cause a geomagnetic pole reversal, or an excursion, the connection
is more than profound.
Major Disruptions to Earth?
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The potential for a Sun-Earth-Jupiter near
perfect alignment to cause a geomagnetic pole reversal may be significant. And
in the event of a reversal, or even a relatively short-term excursion of the
geomagnetic pole, the results would be considerably more than a disruption of
communication links around the globe. The effects of such a pole shift could
cause everything from major disruptions in the lives of human and animals
(conceivably both positive and negative effects) to catastrophic earth changes.
The latter might include extensive volcanic activity, massive earthquakes, and
substantial movements of continental plates. The question thus arises: When is
the next “window of opportunity” for such an event?
Geopalenotologists rather glibly talk of
such reversals occurring every millions years or so. By their own data,
however, such reversals have been occurring, on average, every 400,000 years,
and the last such reversal was 730,000 years ago. Common logic would suggest that the earth is overdue for a geomagnetic pole re-
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| versal. There is also the
fact that the odds of a comet hitting a planet are also very low, but then
comet Shoemaker-Levy
did exactly that to the planet Jupiter just a few years ago, suggesting that
even against odds of something happening in span of a century or so, hits happen! |
In addition, for the
first time in centuries, the Earth, Sun and Jupiter formed a near-perfect
alignment on December 31, 2001 (at approximately 10:30 PM MST). Incredibly, the Earth, Sun and Saturn formed a
near-perfect alignment on January 13, 2005 (approximately 3:55 PM MST). It would have appeared that the Jupiter date was far more likely to
effect the Earth, but the only major disasters were the ones we have created here on Earth for ourselves, such as the aftermath of 9/11/2001, the U.S. Deficit, Afghanistan, Iraq, etc... (You get the picture!)
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